Eurostat Publishes EUROPOP2025 Population Projections Methodology (ec.europa.eu)

• EUROPOP2025 covers 2025–2100, published 15 April 2026.
• Cohort-component method with fertility, mortality, and migration components.
• Partial convergence assumption for EU member states as key driver.

"Eurostat has published the methodology for its EUROPOP2025 population projections covering 2025–2100. The projections use the cohort-component method with assumptions on fertility, mortality, and migration. A key feature is the partial convergence assumption, where EU member states' demographic trends gradually converge. The projections serve as input for the 2027 Ageing Report and other EU policy products. Data is sourced from national statistical institutes and includes voluntary 2025 data."