Irish transport sector projected to exceed first carbon budget ceiling under Climate Action Plan 2025 (environmentireland.ie)

• Cumulative transport emissions 2021-2023: 34.64 MtCO2eq, leaving 19.36 MtCO2eq budget for 2024-2025
• CAP25 warns an unprecedented 12.4% annual reduction needed to stay within first carbon budget
• Transport emissions down 4.2% from 2018 baseline; 50% reduction required by 2030

"According to the Climate Action Plan 2025 (CAP25), Ireland's transport sector is on track to exceed its first carbon budget ceiling of 54 MtCO2eq for 2021-2025. Cumulative emissions from 2021-2023 were 34.64 MtCO2eq, leaving only 19.36 MtCO2eq for 2024-2025. To stay within budget would require an unprecedented 12.4% annual reduction. The sector's emissions have decreased 4.2% from 2018 baseline, but a 50% reduction is needed by 2030. CAP25 outlines measures including fleet electrification, biofuels, and demand management, but warns that emerging challenges impede target achievement."