Irish energy projections show significant gap to 2030 climate and energy targets (seai.ie)

• Ireland projected to miss 2030 renewable energy share target of 43%.
• Energy demand growth outpaces efficiency gains, leading to overshoot of efficiency target.
• Compliance costs estimated at €8-26 billion.
• Delays in wind, district heating, retrofitting, EV adoption accounted for in projections.
• Recommendation for energy sufficiency measures alongside technology change.

"SEAI's National Energy Projections 2025 report warns that Ireland is unlikely to meet its 2030 climate and energy obligations under current policies. Even fully achieving Climate Action Plan targets by 2030 would still leave a significant gap to legally binding carbon budgets, EU renewable energy and energy efficiency targets. The report incorporates risks of delays in wind capacity, district heating, retrofitting, and EV adoption. Projected energy demand growth outpaces efficiency gains, leading to a likely overshoot of the Energy Efficiency Directive 2030 final energy consumption target by nearly 30% (WEM) or 24% (WAM). Compliance costs are estimated between €8 and €26 billion. The report recommends combining technology deployment with energy sufficiency measures."